Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.003939 0.004308 0.004704 0.005161 0.005676 0.006241 0.006908
2025-10-26 0.003296 0.003807 0.004394 0.005124 0.006016 0.007080 0.008459
2025-11-02 0.002900 0.003469 0.004153 0.005048 0.006203 0.007667 0.009696
2025-11-09 0.002651 0.003261 0.004022 0.005058 0.006458 0.008326 0.011072
2025-11-16 0.002433 0.003060 0.003867 0.005004 0.006601 0.008827 0.012277
2025-11-23 0.002236 0.002867 0.003698 0.004904 0.006656 0.009193 0.013313
2025-11-30 0.002123 0.002772 0.003649 0.004957 0.006923 0.009885 0.014933
2025-12-07 0.002056 0.002732 0.003669 0.005105 0.007339 0.010842 0.017120
2025-12-14 0.001934 0.002606 0.003554 0.005040 0.007415 0.011263 0.018449
2025-12-21 0.001814 0.002474 0.003421 0.004934 0.007411 0.011542 0.019559
2025-12-28 0.001721 0.002375 0.003328 0.004881 0.007483 0.011956 0.020977
2026-01-04 0.001658 0.002316 0.003290 0.004910 0.007694 0.012631 0.023017
2026-01-11 0.001574 0.002223 0.003199 0.004854 0.007769 0.013097 0.024780
2026-01-18 0.001500 0.002142 0.003124 0.004820 0.007880 0.013653 0.026873
2026-01-25 0.001425 0.002055 0.003032 0.004749 0.007917 0.014065 0.028721
2026-02-01 0.001373 0.002001 0.002989 0.004758 0.008101 0.014794 0.031482
2026-02-08 0.001313 0.001932 0.002917 0.004708 0.008165 0.015281 0.033753
2026-02-15 0.001250 0.001853 0.002825 0.004616 0.008135 0.015560 0.035546
2026-02-22 0.001218 0.001823 0.002811 0.004665 0.008394 0.016515 0.039437
2026-03-01 0.001202 0.001820 0.002843 0.004802 0.008849 0.017988 0.045271
2026-03-08 0.001155 0.001761 0.002775 0.004742 0.008878 0.018454 0.048165
2026-03-15 0.001105 0.001694 0.002690 0.004644 0.008815 0.018682 0.050366
2026-03-22 0.001065 0.001645 0.002633 0.004594 0.008855 0.019178 0.053630